What the services agree on
PickAuditor combines the public picks of the audited services into consensus picks using four fixed rules. Each meta-model is graded by the same grader as every service and is listed on the leaderboard as a PickAuditor consensus model; its record is published whether it is positive or negative.
The four meta-models
| Meta-model | Rule | Record (all time) | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Majority | At least 5 audited services have a public pick on the same market and 65% or more of them agree on the selection. | No graded picks yet | — |
| Record-weighted | Each service's vote is weighted by its 90-day audited ROI (a negative ROI counts as zero). A selection is picked when its weighted share of the vote reaches 0.6. | No graded picks yet | — |
| CLV-weighted | Each service's vote is weighted by its 90-day average closing line value (zero or below counts as zero), so only services that have been beating the closing line vote. | No graded picks yet | — |
| Contrarian | Takes the opposite side of the majority, only when 80% or more of services agree and the market price of the other side is 2.20 or higher. | No graded picks yet | — |
Consensus picks are computed at least 2 hours before kickoff from public-tier picks captured before kickoff; the market price is taken from the at-capture odds snapshot. Each pick is graded by the same grader as service picks once the official result is in, and each meta-model is listed on the leaderboard as a PickAuditor consensus model under the same sample rules as any service.
Today's consensus picks
Matches kicking off in the next 36 hours (and up to 6 hours ago). Built from public-tier picks captured before kickoff, graded against official results. Times are UTC, odds are decimal.